CREDO: Read those Charter School Tea Leaves after the First Year or Two

There’s a new CREDO report (Stanford's Center for Research on Education Outcomes)  on how to identify high-performing charter schools and encourage their expansion.  You can download either the Executive Summary or the full report here, ), but here’s a few highlights:
One big take-away: a charter school’s first year is indicative of its long-term performance, and kids do better with historically-successful CMO’s. There’s little justification for not closing down a poorly-performing charter after the first couple of years.

Question: If any school -- charter or otherwise --  is performing poorly under its current structure and management organization, how much is it likely to improve? That's, after all, the strategy behind both a piece of the federal  No Child Left Behind legislation and a bigger piece of NJ's new initiative, our Regional Achievement Centers, which will impose turn-around strategies on historically failing schools. (In fact, that's the essence of NJ's  waiver from NCLB.) Can CREDO's conclusions -- that there's not much upside in turn-arounds but greater upside from outright closures and reliance on organizations with strong track records of performance -- be applied to traditional public schools? Where's the data on that?

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